Russia

Russia sold arms to the most wars of all the top suppliers, and was one of the few countries which was more likely to sell arms to countries that were at war. Russia is party to several global arms control agreements, which in theory should limit sales to conflict zones.

Explore the graphics below to see how the likelihood of arms sales increases or decreases with different factors.

What factors might affect arms exports from Russia?

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War

Arms sales from Russia are:

  • More frequent when the recipient is at war
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Money

Arms sales from Russia are:

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Relationships

Arms sales from Russia are:

  • More frequent if the recipient is already a recent customer 4
  • Less frequent if the recipient is a member of NATO
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Other

No significant difference was found between arms exports to different countries based on other miscellaneous metrics.

Conflicts

Direct conflict participation

Russia directly participated in the following conflicts:

Weapons supplies to conflict participants

Top arms recipients

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The greatest recipients of Major Conventional Weapons from Russia by value* between 1990 and 2018 are as follows:

IndiaChinaAlgeriaViet NamIran40bn TIV36bn TIV12bn TIV7.2bn TIV3.9bn TIV1992199620002004200820122016

*The SIPRI Trend Indicator Value (TIV) is a relative measure of arms transfer value, normalized for inflation and currency.

Full results

All metrics were investigated using regression analysis. The full results are reproduced here.

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Metric
Observed arms sales
Significance
more frequent
High
more frequent
Moderate
less frequent
Very High
more frequent
Very High
more frequent
High
less frequent
High
None

Footnotes

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  • 1Measured in constant 2018 millions of USD
  • 2Both total GDP and GDP per-capita were analysed, with similar results. In each analysis whichever had higher significance is specified although the differences were minor.
  • 3This metric is only applicable to supplier states whose export control regimes claim to involve any criteria related to human rights in the recipient country.
  • 4Transfers above 5,000 TIV in the last five years. The SIPRI TIV unit is a measurement of the value of arms which is independent of currency and inflation.
  • 5This metric is only applicable to supplier states that also participated in the conflict.
  • 6This metric is only applicable to supplier states that also participated in the invasion or the main international force up to 2011.